Past the Bottom: Home Values Increase for 3rd Month in a Row

by | Jun 27, 2023

The US housing market has been making headlines with positive developments in recent months. According to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index, home prices rose for a third consecutive month in April, indicating a broad-based recovery across major cities. Additionally, new home sales saw a significant surge in May, demonstrating strong buyer interest in new construction options. Let’s dive into the details and understand the implications for homebuyers and the mortgage market.

Home Prices on the Rise: In April, home prices experienced a notable rebound after a seven-month streak of declines. The national index, adjusted for seasonal variations, increased by 0.5% from March. Both the 10-City and 20-City composites also recorded increases, rising by 1% and 0.9%, respectively. This positive trend indicates a strengthening housing market and suggests that the previous decline in home prices has likely come to an end.

Broad-Based Recovery Across Major Cities: The recovery in home prices is evident across the board, with prices rising in all 20 major cities tracked by the index, except for a slight decrease in the Phoenix market when adjusted for seasonal variations. This indicates a broad-based recovery, highlighting the resilience of the housing market and its potential for growth.

Challenges Faced by the Housing Market: While the housing market has shown signs of recovery, it continues to face challenges. Rising mortgage rates and low inventory levels have created competition among buyers, resulting in upward pressure on prices. The limited availability of existing homes for sale has prompted buyers to turn to new construction options, leading to increased demand in the new home sales market.

New Home Sales Surge: In May, new home sales experienced a significant surge, rising by 12.2% from April and 20% from a year ago. This growth is attributed to buyers seeking alternatives to the low inventory of existing homes. Moreover, new home sales increased in every region of the country, with the West seeing particularly notable gains.

Implications for Homebuyers and the Mortgage Market: As the housing market continues to accelerate, it may impact mortgage rates and the lending landscape. If the market maintains its upward trajectory, it could potentially lead to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in response to increased demand and potential inflationary pressures. However, it’s important to note that the Federal Reserve recently chose not to raise rates and is currently reviewing the economic landscape, considering various factors before making any decisions.

Conclusion: The US housing market is showing signs of strength and resilience, with home prices rising for a third consecutive month and new home sales experiencing a surge. This presents both opportunities and challenges for homebuyers and the mortgage market. As a prospective homebuyer, it’s crucial to stay informed about market trends, mortgage rates, and the evolving economic landscape to make well-informed decisions. Consulting with a trusted mortgage broker can provide valuable guidance and support throughout the homebuying process, ensuring you navigate the market effectively and secure the best mortgage terms for your needs.

Primary Sources: Source 1, Source 2

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